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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$30.7k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
timetowander bought No at 73¢. The price gave that side a 73% chance. 42,042 shares, 2 fills, Oct 29, 06:45 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $30.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet timetowander bought No for $30.7k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied 73% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 3 of 3 on graded bets, +4.2 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $30.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +2.5 ptsNo price · entry 73¢ · now 76¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $21.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | LOW SELL Yes @ 26¢ | $79.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $10.9k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |