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What this means. A wallet put $453.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$453.1k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 872,330 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250k7 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet totoro3miyazaki took Yes (buy) for $453.1k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $453.1k+3
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 51.9%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $453.1k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 14:22 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 11, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- totoro3miyazaki
- Tx
- 0x1800eeef…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-36.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.00M | excluded |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 92.1¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 47¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $13.0k | excluded |