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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY Yes @ 28¢ · 48,521 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Cinibengales took Yes (buy) for $13.6k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 28¢ means
28%chance the market gave
+257American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 28¢
- Implied odds
- 28.0%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Mar 18, 15:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Cinibengales
- Tx
- 0x1663d2b9…
This wallet's graded record
2/19-22.5 pts
expected 6.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |