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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?excluded
$12.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 12,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet OLOTH took No (buy) for $12.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$12.0k
Placed
Feb 26, 10:20 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
OLOTH
Tx
0x1595c83f…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $12.0k WHALE $12.0K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $41.7k0% MisterFixel237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% BabyKangroo237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.3k0% F0sEE238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% How.Dare.You238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% How.Dare.You238d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $110.5k0% ElvenWisp238d agoexcluded