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What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.3k
BUY Yes @ 42¢ · 29,320 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet RJW1 took Yes (buy) for $12.3k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $12.3k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 17:20 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RJW1
- Tx
- 0x151112cf…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+43.8 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +58 ptsYes price · entry 42¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $86.7k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |