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What this means. A wallet put $24.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?excluded
$24.8k
BUY No @ 99¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet thegreengem took No (buy) for $24.8k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99¢
Implied odds
99.0%
Size
$24.8k
Placed
May 25, 19:06 EDT
Market close
May 23, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
thegreengem
Tx
0x1449ef2f…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $29.3k100% strike123150d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $199.7k
2.6× usual
100% 033033033150d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $30.6k0% alliswell150d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $20.7k100% FlyingPlaty150d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $30.1k100% 0x1af7…ff87150d agoexcluded
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $12.3k1% strike123150d agoexcluded