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What this means. A wallet put $35.0k on Aurora Gaming, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.0k
BUY Aurora Gaming @ 35¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gmanas took Aurora Gaming (buy) for $35.0k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved FURIA, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aurora Gaming wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- As American odds
- +186 no vig
- Size
- $35.0k
- Placed
- Feb 05, 16:29 EST
- Market close
- Feb 06, 09:45 EST
- Result
- FURIA
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmanas
- Tx
- 0x12c13737…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -35 ptsAurora Gaming price · entry 35¢ · resolved FURIA
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | LOW BUY FURIA @ 68¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 37¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | LOW BUY FURIA @ 62¢ | $40.2k | called |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 36¢ | $12.4k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 35¢ | $25.1k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 35¢ | $64.9k | missed |