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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Aurora Gaming, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
BUY Aurora Gaming @ 36¢ · 34,480 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Donghui took Aurora Gaming (buy) for $12.4k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved FURIA, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aurora Gaming wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 36.0%
- As American odds
- +178 no vig
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Feb 06, 08:18 EST
- Market close
- Feb 06, 09:45 EST
- Result
- FURIA
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Donghui
- Tx
- 0x280bc4e4…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-7.8 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -36 ptsAurora Gaming price · entry 36¢ · resolved FURIA
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY FURIA @ 68¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 37¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY FURIA @ 62¢ | $40.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 35¢ | $25.1k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Aurora Gaming @ 35¢ | $64.9k | missed | |
| LOW BUY FURIA @ 65¢ | $15.9k | called |