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What this means. A wallet put $34.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$34.5k
SELL Yes @ 75¢ · 46,046 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet tetrose took Yes (sell) for $34.5k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $34.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 25.0%
- Size
- $34.5k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 20:29 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tetrose
- Tx
- 0x126508aa…
This wallet's graded record
7/14+1.6 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -25 ptsYes price · entry 75¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |