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What this means. A wallet put $57.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$57.6k
SELL Yes @ 40¢ · 143,001 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet northerndancer took Yes (sell) for $57.6k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $57.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 59.7%
- As American odds
- −148 no vig
- Size
- $57.6k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 11:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- northerndancer
- Tx
- 0x125c8d57…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+29.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsYes price · entry 40¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $46.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |