← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $21.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.5k
SELL No @ 86¢ · 24,985 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (sell) for $21.5k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $21.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 14.0%
- Size
- $21.5k
- Placed
- Apr 09, 10:33 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 20:18 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x1182d4e1…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $14.8k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | MED BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 57¢ | $14.2k | called |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $17.4k | called |