← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+4.9 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.2k
BUY No @ 97.4¢ · 13,534 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet wokerjoesleeper took No (buy) for $13.2k at an average 97.4¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3688American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.4¢
- Implied odds
- 97.4%
- Size
- $13.2k
- Placed
- May 15, 16:37 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wokerjoesleeper
- Tx
- 0x0f99a7c3…
This wallet's graded record
20/21+4.9 pts
expected 19.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $849.3k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $193.8k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $781.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $72.9k 3.7× usual |
excluded |