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What this means. A wallet put $18.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.9k
BUY No @ 72¢ · 26,427 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x83e1…6a54 took No (buy) for $18.9k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−253American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 71.6%
- Size
- $18.9k
- Placed
- Dec 22, 17:58 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x83e1…6a54
- Tx
- 0x0ee44cb1…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+2.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |