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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?called
$11.6k
BUY No @ 95.8¢ · 12,126 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet cookiejar took No (buy) for $11.6k at an average 95.8¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2297American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.8¢
Implied odds
95.8%
Size
$11.6k
Placed
Jun 25, 15:36 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
cookiejar
Tx
0x0e236feb…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+4.2 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +4 pts
No price · entry 95.8¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95.8¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 95.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% Valen9109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% 0x7131…29cc110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% djked110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 0xce83…5b97110d agoexcluded