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What this means. A wallet put $244.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$244.0k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 245,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet expectless took No (buy) for $244.0k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $244.0k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 99.6%
- Size
- $244.0k
- Placed
- Feb 27, 14:33 EST
- Market close
- Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- expectless
- Tx
- 0x0d083cb6…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-21.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $400.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $203.0k | excluded |