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What this means. A wallet put $18.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.5k
BUY Yes @ 13¢ · 137,968 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet johndegen took Yes (buy) for $18.5k at an average 13¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 13¢ means
13%chance the market gave
+644American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 13¢
- Implied odds
- 13.4%
- As American odds
- +644 no vig
- Size
- $18.5k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 11:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- johndegen
- Tx
- 0x0ccd8199…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+8.8 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |