← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.3k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 12,873 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet coali10 took No (buy) for $11.3k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−731American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.0%
- Size
- $11.3k
- Placed
- Jun 08, 17:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- coali10
- Tx
- 0x0bde7b3d…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+23.4 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $106.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.3k | excluded |