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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
SELL No @ 90¢ · 13,084 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet classified took No (sell) for $11.8k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 10.0%
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- May 19, 18:47 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- classified
- Tx
- 0x0bc44f09…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-16.0 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -10 ptsNo price · entry 90¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |