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What this means. A wallet put $26.3k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded
$26.3k
BUY Thunder @ 66¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ChloeT1 took Thunder (buy) for $26.3k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $26.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−193American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
66¢
Implied odds
65.8%
As American odds
−193 no vig
Size
$26.3k
Placed
May 20, 20:53 EDT
Market close
May 20, 20:30 EDT
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ChloeT1
Tx
0x0a585e5d…
This wallet's graded record
10/12+16.9 pts
expected 8.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +34 pts
Thunder price · entry 66¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $26.3k WHALE $26.3K @ 66¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $42.6k0% PS003157d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% gwj2dnjnj157d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $23.3k0% 0x25cb…03a3157d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.6¢ $86.9k
3.1× usual
100% Countrysid157d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderHIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ $254.9k
6.0× usual
90% PowerSupplyUnit157d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Thunder @ 88¢ $17.6k12% 306079196234018351173259157d agoexcluded