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Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $26.3k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.3k
BUY Thunder @ 66¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ChloeT1 took Thunder (buy) for $26.3k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−193American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 65.8%
- As American odds
- −193 no vig
- Size
- $26.3k
- Placed
- May 20, 20:53 EDT
- Market close
- May 20, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ChloeT1
- Tx
- 0x0a585e5d…
This wallet's graded record
10/12+16.9 pts
expected 8.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +34 ptsThunder price · entry 66¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $42.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.6¢ | $86.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $254.9k 6.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 88¢ | $17.6k | excluded |