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Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $42.6k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thunderexcluded$42.6k
SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ · 42,647 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet PS003 took Thunder (sell) for $42.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $42.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $42.6k
- Placed
- May 20, 23:08 EDT
- Market close
- May 20, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- PS003
- Tx
- 0xce7461a9…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+6.2 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.6¢ | $86.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | HIGH BUY Thunder @ 90¢ | $254.9k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 88¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Spurs @ 5¢ | $12.3k | excluded |