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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY No @ 75¢ · 14,319 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet newnewuser took No (buy) for $10.7k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−296American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 74.8%
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- May 23, 16:07 EDT
- Market close
- May 25, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- newnewuser
- Tx
- 0x09a0284e…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+17.6 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsNo price · entry 75¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |