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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
$13.2k
SELL Yes @ 98.3¢ · 13,456 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet XAE12Archangel took Yes (sell) for $13.2k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.3¢
Implied odds
1.7%
Size
$13.2k
Placed
Apr 12, 01:38 EDT
Market close
Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
XAE12Archangel
Tx
0x0980e2e8…
This wallet's graded record
13/19+5.4 pts
expected 12.0 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% Tigerofthehood178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.9× usual
0% pako178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k0% JAHODA178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% QMG-CORE178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% QMG-MACRO178d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $112.5k100% books1 NEW178d agoexcluded