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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 26% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
SELL No @ 74¢ · 16,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x83e1…6a54 took No (sell) for $12.2k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 26% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 26.3%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Jan 08, 10:54 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x83e1…6a54
- Tx
- 0x08a7d12e…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+2.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $17.0k | excluded |