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What this means. A wallet put $16.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.2k
BUY Yes @ 90.4¢ · 17,918 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet yungstalin took Yes (buy) for $16.2k at an average 90.4¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−942American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90.4¢
- Implied odds
- 90.4%
- As American odds
- −942 no vig
- Size
- $16.2k
- Placed
- Apr 17, 10:27 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- yungstalin
- Tx
- 0x07ec3cd4…
This wallet's graded record
14/19+6.4 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.5k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |