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Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $52.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded$52.5k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 128,792 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet Z-one took Yes (buy) for $52.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $52.5k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+145American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 40.8%
- As American odds
- +145 no vig
- Size
- $52.5k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 20:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Z-one
- Tx
- 0x076c1671…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +59 ptsYes price · entry 41¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $86.7k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |