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Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $45.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded$45.6k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 69,156 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Yes (buy) for $45.6k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $45.6k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 66.0%
- As American odds
- −194 no vig
- Size
- $45.6k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 20:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x06d956d6…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +34 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $86.7k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |