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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$153.0k

Senators vs. Kings

0x4924…3782 bought Senators at 55¢. The price gave that side a 55% chance. 279,511 shares, 5 fills, Oct 29, 22:00 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $153.0k on Senators, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market resolved Kings, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x4924…3782 bought Senators for $153.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied 55% for the side they took. The market resolved Kings. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +43.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $153.0k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)9.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−121American odds
$1.00paid per share if Senators wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
Senators price · entry 55¢ · resolved Kings
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $153.0k WHALE $153.0K @ 55¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Senators vs. KingsLOW BUY Senators @ 54¢ $12.4k54% 0x2c33…05635h agoExcluded
Senators vs. KingsLOW BUY Senators @ 53¢ $10.6k53% PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN15h agoMissed