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What this means. A wallet put $18.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?excluded
$18.8k
SELL No @ 98.8¢ · 19,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Hashbrown took No (sell) for $18.8k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
1.2%
Size
$18.8k
Placed
Aug 16, 20:16 EDT
Market close
Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Hashbrown
Tx
0x052d42b6…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+6.9 pts
expected 6.4 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k0% KiernanMeister48d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.7k0% Paul97397349d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% MsTKyB1 NEW49d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.9k0% Lisbon50d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% ANGGGuess50d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% stupid2250d agoexcluded