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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
BUY Yes @ 15¢ · 89,975 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet harshagarwal343 took Yes (buy) for $13.5k at an average 15¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $13.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 15¢ means
15%chance the market gave
+567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 15¢
- Implied odds
- 15.0%
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Sep 14, 13:09 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- harshagarwal343
- Tx
- 0x0437f8f9…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-17.3 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -15 ptsYes price · entry 15¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |