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What this means. A wallet put $14.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
$14.9k
BUY No @ 84¢ · 17,689 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet Siziriv took No (buy) for $14.9k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−537American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
84¢
Implied odds
84.3%
As American odds
−537 no vig
Size
$14.9k
Placed
Apr 28, 09:32 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Siziriv
Tx
0x03e076dc…
This wallet's graded record
5/7-1.5 pts
expected 5.1 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar196d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d896d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.3k0% Djdjdjekekek96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww96d agoexcluded