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What this means. A wallet put $390.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$390.8k
SELL Yes @ 78¢ · 501,961 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)14× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet coali10 took Yes (sell) for $390.8k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $390.8k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 22.2%
- Size
- $390.8k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 19:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- coali10
- Tx
- 0x0169be05…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+23.4 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -22 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |