← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.4k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 16,700 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Votei14Voude22 took No (sell) for $15.4k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $15.4k
- Placed
- Apr 24, 12:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Votei14Voude22
- Tx
- 0x00de7a3a…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+13.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |