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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?called
$15.0k
BUY No @ 94¢ · 16,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Hashbrown took No (buy) for $15.0k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
94¢
Implied odds
94.0%
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jan 31, 16:18 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Hashbrown
Tx
0x00da74e6…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+6.9 pts
expected 6.4 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $41.7k0% MisterFixel237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% BabyKangroo237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.3k0% F0sEE237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% How.Dare.You237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $44.6k0% How.Dare.You237d agoexcluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $110.5k0% ElvenWisp238d agoexcluded