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Spread: Thunder (-7.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+9.2 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)excluded$10.4k
BUY Thunder @ 53¢ · 19,596 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BreakTheBank took Thunder (buy) for $10.4k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 21:15 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BreakTheBank
- Tx
- 0x002e21cf…
This wallet's graded record
12/23+9.2 pts
expected 9.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsThunder price · entry 53¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 50¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 48¢ | $14.4k | missed |