Daily recap
Thursday, October 22, 2026
528 whale trades totalling $17.60M from 264 wallets. Biggest: $580.5k buy Cavaliers on “Cavaliers vs. 76ers” at 90.6¢. 47 of 84 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 44.8 expected (+2.7 pts).
Whale trades
528
Volume
$17.60M
Wallets
264
Resolved edge
+2.7 pts
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cavaliers vs. 76ers | HIGH BUY Cavaliers @ 90.6¢ | $580.5k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | HIGH BUY Cavaliers @ 45¢ | $526.7k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers | HIGH BUY 76ers @ 56¢ | $451.6k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
 Patriots vs. Bears | HIGH BUY Bears @ 65¢ | $304.1k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | HIGH BUY Bears @ 79¢ | $302.7k 7.3× usual |
excluded |
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $302.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | HIGH BUY Over @ 57¢ | $270.8k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | MED BUY Nuggets @ 49¢ | $226.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $216.6k | called |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY No @ 57¢ | $192.6k | excluded |
| KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 78¢ | $191.0k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | MED BUY Patriots @ 56¢ | $179.9k 4.3× usual |
missed |
| KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | MED SELL Over @ 78¢ | $165.4k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k | excluded |
 Sharks vs. Senators | MED BUY Senators @ 56¢ | $147.8k | excluded |
Most traded markets
Cavaliers vs. 76ers$2.48M · 44 flags
Patriots vs. Bears$1.51M · 25 flags
Nuggets vs. Thunder$689.9k · 19 flags
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5$627.3k · 3 flags
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?$608.5k · 6 flags
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$529.2k · 15 flags
Sharpest odds moves
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance | HIGH CR Flamengo DOWN -59.5 pts $12.0k whale money behind it | $117.5k 24h vol |
excluded |
 England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England | HIGH Sri Lanka UP +51.9 pts | $114.0k 24h vol |
excluded |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | HIGH Yes UP +49.0 pts | $100.6k 24h vol |
pending |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | HIGH Yes UP +46.0 pts | $96.5k 24h vol |
pending |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | HIGH Yes DOWN -45.5 pts | $94.4k 24h vol |
pending |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | HIGH Up DOWN -45.5 pts | $76.0k 24h vol |
called |
 Cali: Miguel Tobon vs Nicolas Mejia | HIGH Miguel Tobon UP +42.0 pts | $176.7k 24h vol |
excluded |
 Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | HIGH Team Liquid UP +41.5 pts $12.2k whale money behind it | $481.3k 24h vol |
excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | HIGH Team Yandex DOWN -39.0 pts | $144.8k 24h vol |
excluded |
| Lyon Open: Borna Gojo vs Daniel Altmaier | HIGH Borna Gojo DOWN -38.0 pts | $101.2k 24h vol |
excluded |
Resolved today
called2d ago
Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno
UPSantiago Rodriguez Taverna@ 54¢→Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
$374.0k · implied 54%
called1d ago
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?
BUYYes@ 54¢→Yes
$216.6k · 3edmond.dantesimplied 54%
missed1d ago
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
BUYPatriots@ 56¢→Bears
$179.9k · 0x2c33…0563implied 56%
missed1d ago
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
BUYPatriots@ 46¢→Bears
$119.5k · Kch-Tempimplied 46%
called1d ago
Red Wings vs. Canucks
BUYRed Wings@ 61¢→Red Wings
$103.4k · Talvez10implied 61%
called1d ago
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-10-22?
BUYNo@ 90¢→No
$92.0k · 0x2c33…0563implied 90%
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