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Spread: Bears (-3.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $179.9k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bears (-3.5)missed$179.9k
BUY Patriots @ 56¢ · 321,171 shares
Size ≥ $100k4.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Patriots (buy) for $179.9k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $179.9k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $179.9k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 13:10 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xa41cff13…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -56 ptsPatriots price · entry 56¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Patriots @ 56¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Bears @ 44¢ | $52.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Patriots @ 57¢ | $16.4k | missed |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | LOW BUY Patriots @ 55¢ | $11.5k | missed |