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What this means. A wallet put $92.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$92.0k
BUY No @ 90¢ · 102,267 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $92.0k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $92.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- As American odds
- −900 no vig
- Size
- $92.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 11:34 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x5204c95f…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +10 ptsNo price · entry 90¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.