Thursday, December 4, 2025

45 whale trades totalling $2.43M from 30 wallets. Biggest: $348.2k buy No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?” at 99.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.5¢	$348.2k	100%	0x6403…a454	323d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.3¢	$215.5k 10.2× usual	1%	0xa8fa…77b5	323d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 98.6¢	$178.7k 3.3× usual	1%	rdba	324d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$163.1k 3.3× usual	100%	0x6327…e181	323d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.4¢	$144.2k	1%	0xea8e…3de0	323d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$141.2k	1%	0xa354…cb1f	323d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$100.7k	100%	0xdd57…694d	323d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$97.5k	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	323d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 95¢	$95.3k	5%	rdba	324d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$85.4k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	323d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$85.3k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	323d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 95¢	$70.6k	5%	0xb33c…4ac3	323d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$49.7k	99%	0xcddd…166c	324d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 95¢	$47.5k 2.0× usual	5%	cqs	324d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$41.3k	100%	0xea8e…3de0	323d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$348.2k

MED 0x6403…a454 · 323d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$215.5k

MED 0xa8fa…77b5 · 323d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 98.6¢$178.7k

MED rdba · 324d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$163.1k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 323d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$144.2k

MED 0xea8e…3de0 · 323d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$141.2k

LOW 0xa354…cb1f · 323d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$100.7k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 323d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$97.5k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 323d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 95¢$95.3k

MED rdba · 324d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$85.4k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 323d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$85.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 323d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 95¢$70.6k

MED 0xb33c…4ac3 · 323d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$49.7k

LOW 0xcddd…166c · 324d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 95¢$47.5k

MED cqs · 324d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$41.3k

LOW 0xea8e…3de0 · 323d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$1.47M · 18 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$344.5k · 14 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$213.4k · 3 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$205.9k · 4 flags

Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$68.9k · 2 flags

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$68.8k · 2 flags