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Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolved: No
Flags
4
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$205.9k
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Politics
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$205.9k
4 flags
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% forgotmydinner18d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $23.3k100% Etak18d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $120.7k
7.6× usual
100% ProfessionalPunter18d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $32.0k
2.0× usual
100% classified19d agoexcluded

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 4 whale trades on this market totalling $205.9k from 4 wallets. The largest was $120.7k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($205.9k) went to No. 4 of 4 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, ProfessionalPunter ($120.7k), has called 7 of 10 graded flags overall (+4.0 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-geraldo-alckmin-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election).