Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $205.9k 4 flags |
none | none |
No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $120.7k 7.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 4 whale trades on this market totalling $205.9k from 4 wallets. The largest was $120.7k (buy No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($205.9k) went to No. 4 of 4 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, ProfessionalPunter ($120.7k), has called 7 of 10 graded flags overall (+4.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-geraldo-alckmin-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election).