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forgotmydinner

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$30.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$208.1k
Last 30 days +$203.6k · $4.93M volume · 31,279 trades · since Oct 04, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 427 closed
+$167.3k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$81.9k
Closed-position win rate
45%
427 closed
Wallet age · markets
20d
753 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% 18d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4a0eec…