← Live flags
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)
Resolved: Rafa Garcia
Flags
7
Net whale flow → Alexander Hernandez
+$286.2k
Alexander Hernandez 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Hernandez | $305.5k 2 flags |
none | none |
| Rafa Garcia | $75.2k 4 flags |
none | $19.8k 1 wallet |
| Not Rafa Garcia | $55.8k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Rafa Garcia @ 99.9¢ | $55.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Rafa Garcia @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Rafa Garcia @ 47¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Alexander Hernandez @ 53¢ | $293.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Rafa Garcia @ 47¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Rafa Garcia @ 49¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Alexander Hernandez @ 53¢ | $12.1k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 7 whale trades on this market totalling $436.5k from 6 wallets. The largest was $293.4k (buy Alexander Hernandez at 53¢). Most whale money ($305.5k) went to Alexander Hernandez. 4 of 7 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Sassy-Bucket ($293.4k), has called 4 of 12 graded flags overall (-16.2 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (ufc-ale-raf3-2026-04-25).