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Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $86.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?excluded$86.4k
BUY No @ 55¢ · 156,219 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $86.4k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $86.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−124American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.3%
- As American odds
- −124 no vig
- Size
- $86.4k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 18:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xffb2bb34…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +45 ptsNo price · entry 55¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $10.1k | excluded |