← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $37.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$37.1k
SELL No @ 70¢ · 53,193 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet 0x6418…730c took No (sell) for $37.1k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $37.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 30.2%
- Size
- $37.1k
- Placed
- May 23, 05:40 EDT
- Market close
- May 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6418…730c
- Tx
- 0xff85cea2…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-30.2 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsNo price · entry 70¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |