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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on Frances Tiafoe, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-14.9 pts over 31 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsenexcluded
$14.0k
BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 60¢ · 23,341 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Frances Tiafoe (buy) for $14.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Frances Tiafoe. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Frances Tiafoe wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.0%
As American odds
−150 no vig
Size
$14.0k
Placed
Sep 08, 14:28 EDT
Market close
Sep 08, 14:25 EDT
Result
Frances Tiafoe
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0xfd2c9ab9…
This wallet's graded record
14/31-14.9 pts
expected 18.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +40 pts
Frances Tiafoe price · entry 60¢ · resolved Frances Tiafoe
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 60¢ · $14.0k WHALE $14.0K @ 60¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenMED SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ $251.5k
6.7× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf46d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 0x6fd2…caec46d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ $48.3k
2.9× usual
0% 0xef1b…869746d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% kkookkoo46d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Israel2646d agoexcluded
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 54¢ $18.5k54% Netrol46d agoexcluded