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What this means. A wallet put $14.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.4k
SELL No @ 91¢ · 15,778 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet sange16888888 took No (sell) for $14.4k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- Size
- $14.4k
- Placed
- May 22, 01:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sange16888888
- Tx
- 0xfcdc14d5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-9.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -9 ptsNo price · entry 91¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $93.3k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $351.6k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $360.0k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |