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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +21.0 pts vs the price over 28 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 38¢ · 39,474 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BrotherObama took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 12:59 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BrotherObama
- Tx
- 0xfc2dfbc1…
This wallet's graded record
20/28+21.0 pts
expected 14.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsYes price · entry 38¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | HIGH BUY No @ 64¢ | $1.43M 3.5× usual |
excluded |