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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on England, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceexcluded
$10.6k
BUY England @ 54¢ · 19,790 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet amo2016 took England (buy) for $10.6k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−116American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
53.6%
As American odds
−116 no vig
Size
$10.6k
Placed
Jul 15, 15:24 EDT
Market close
Jul 15, 15:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
amo2016
Tx
0xfa99098e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-53.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -54 pts
England price · entry 54¢ · resolved Argentina
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $10.6k WHALE $10.6K @ 54¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $18.7k0% FinalOrder100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $10.2k0% 0x9e3e…f882100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.1k0% g1ggl3r100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $15.6k0% Yeyo73100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $12.5k0% Themanwiththewig420100d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.9k0% 0x3719…2df0100d agoexcluded