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amo2016

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-53.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$37.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$33.8k
Last 30 days +$1,642 · $800.8k volume · 986 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$162.4k
Open P&L · 169 positions
−$195.1k
Closed-position win rate
75%
290 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
453 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports100.5-53.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 54¢ $10.6k54% 100d agoexcluded
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY England @ 57¢ $11.3k57% 104d agoexcluded
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY United States @ 53¢ $15.1k53% 109d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7cc6c8…