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g1ggl3r

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$99.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$13.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.16M volume · 152 trades · since Jul 11, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$68.2k
Open P&L · 21 positions
−$72.2k
Closed-position win rate
78%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
105d
29 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Spain @ 90.5¢ $45.5k
2.3× usual
10% 97d agoexcluded
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $24.1k0% 101d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Argentina @ 76¢ $14.7k76% 104d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ $15.0k57% 104d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa45e52…