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What this means. A wallet put $76.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$76.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 77,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet shutitfatty took Yes (sell) for $76.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $76.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $76.9k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 14:57 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 12:30 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- shutitfatty
- Tx
- 0xf954d4a4…
This wallet's graded record
7/12-1.6 pts
expected 7.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $83.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $69.2k 3.1× usual |
excluded |